Data Transparency

Variable Explorer

Trace how each of ARGOS's 90 base input variables flows through 22 analytical models, aggregates into 5 sub-indices, and produces the final Geopolitical Risk Score. Select a country to see actual computed values.

This explorer displays the 90 base inputs collected from external sources. In the full computational specification, these expand to approximately 340 features through model-specific transformations (lagged values, interaction terms, normalized ratios, and engineered features). Per-layer feature counts referenced elsewhere in the documentation reflect these expanded totals.

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United States
North America
GRS-Baseline -2.6 - Low
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Showing 90 of 90 variables
Variable โ†‘Source๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USA UnitModelsSub-IndicesTrace
UCDP / ICJN/Acount
UNESCON/A%
World BankN/A%
ATOP / COWN/A0-1
IISS Military Balance1,388,000persons
SIPRIN/ATIV M
SIPRIN/ATIV M
UCDP0persons/yr
WTO / UN ComtradeN/AM USD
ACLED / UCDPN/Aevents/yr
Freedom HouseN/A1-7
Huntington / WVSN/Acategorical
UNCTADN/A%
UCDPN/A0-3
COWN/Acount
World Bank WGIN/A-2.5 to +2.5
Transparency International69.00-100
Powell & Thyne / CSPN/A0-1
IMF WEON/A%
IISS / BelferN/A0-100
SIPRI / IISSN/AM USD
UN DESAN/Apersons
INFORM / ND-GAINN/A0-100
OEC / Harvard CIDN/Aindex
UNDPN/A0-1
V-DemN/A0-1
IEA / World BankN/A%
Alesina et al.0.490-1
Polity5N/A1-7
FAON/A%
UNCTAD285,000M USD
IMFN/AM USD
ATOPN/Acount
Fund for Peace38.50-120
World BankN/AB USD
World Bank2.5%
World Bank76,330USD
UNDPN/A0-1
World Bank41.40-100
IMF WEO123.3%
World Bank WGIN/A-2.5 to +2.5
WHON/A%
UNDPN/A0-1
World BankN/Aper 1000
IMF WEO3.4%
ITU / V-DemN/A0-1
UNHCR / IDMCN/Apersons
ITU / World BankN/A%
V-DemN/A0-1
ArchigosN/Ayears
World Bank77.5years
WTO / UN ComtradeN/AHHI
UN Population Division38.5years
SIPRI3.5%
IISSN/Aper 1000
ARGOS (computed)N/A[-15, +85]
UN Population DivisionN/Aper 1000
UCDPN/Aevents/yr
FAS / SIPRI5,550count
UCDPN/Apersons/yr
World BankN/A% GDP
Freedom HouseN/A1-7
World Bank WGIN/A-2.5 to +2.5
Polity5 / CSP8.0-10 to +10
World Bank0.5%
RSF71.20-100
ACLED3,200events/yr
UNESCO / World BankN/A%
UNHCRN/Aper 1000 pop
UNHCR5,400persons
Polity5N/Ayears
World Bank WGIN/A-2.5 to +2.5
World Bank WGIN/A-2.5 to +2.5
OFAC / EUN/A0-100
BDM DatasetN/A0-1
Fund for Peace / V-DemN/A0-100
DataReportal / ITUN/A%
UNCTAD / WTON/A0-100
World BankN/A%
GTD / ACLEDN/Aevents/yr
UN Population DivisionN/Abirths/woman
UN Population Division334,914,895persons
World Bank25.6%
UN DPKON/Apersonnel
ILO / World Bank3.7%
World Bank83.1%
V-Dem Institute0.760-1
World Bank WGIN/A-2.5 to +2.5
BDM DatasetN/A0-1
UN Population DivisionN/A%

Data Sources

World Bank62 vars

GDP, trade, debt, demographics, infrastructure, and development indicators

IMF28 vars

Macroeconomic forecasts, fiscal balances, current account, exchange rates

V-Dem45 vars

Liberal democracy, electoral integrity, civil liberties, judicial independence, media freedom

SIPRI22 vars

Military expenditure, arms transfers, nuclear forces, peacekeeping

UCDP18 vars

Armed conflict events, battle deaths, non-state violence, one-sided violence

ACLED15 vars

Political violence events, protests, riots, strategic developments

Freedom House12 vars

Political rights, civil liberties, internet freedom, nations in transit

Transparency Intl.8 vars

Corruption Perceptions Index, bribery risk, government defense integrity

Fund for Peace12 vars

Fragile States Index (12 indicators: cohesion, economic, political, social)

Polity V8 vars

Regime type, executive constraints, political competition, regime durability

UN Population35 vars

Population projections, age structure, fertility, mortality, migration

UNHCR10 vars

Refugee populations, internally displaced persons, asylum seekers, stateless persons

RSF6 vars

Press Freedom Index, journalist safety, media independence, legal framework

IISS18 vars

Military Balance: force structure, equipment, defense budgets, deployments

UNCTAD14 vars

FDI flows, trade matrices, commodity prices, investment policy

FAS/SIPRI Nuclear5 vars

Nuclear warhead inventories, delivery systems, fissile material stocks

Alesina et al.6 vars

Ethnic, linguistic, and religious fractionalization indices

WTO12 vars

Bilateral trade flows, tariff schedules, trade disputes, services trade

ILO16 vars

Labor force participation, youth unemployment, informal employment, working poverty

WHO8 vars

Health expenditure, disease burden, health system capacity, pandemic preparedness

NewsAPI.ai0 vars

Real-time global news aggregation across 150,000+ sources in 40+ languages, powering the AI Signal Layer

GDELT0 vars

Real-time global event monitoring in 65+ languages, primary OSINT feed for AI Signal Layer

ReliefWeb0 vars

Humanitarian situation reports, disaster updates, and crisis analyses from UN OCHA

HDX0 vars

Open humanitarian datasets on food security, displacement, and crisis indicators from OCHA

ICG CrisisWatch0 vars

Monthly conflict tracker covering escalation, de-escalation, and unchanged situations globally

UCDP0 vars

Georeferenced Event Dataset with near-real-time conflict events, fatality estimates, and violence type classification

ACLED0 vars

Political violence and protest event data (pending Research-tier API access)