AI Signal Layer: Intelligence

OSINT Intelligence Feed

Real-time categorized OSINT articles from multiple sources (NewsAPI.ai, GDELT, UCDP, ReliefWeb, HDX, ICG CrisisWatch (ACLED pending), and international wire services), processed through the Forge LLM to map each event to ARGOS sub-index dimensions with magnitude and confidence scores. These signals drive the GRS-Live computation across all monitored nations.

Signal Scheduler: Active
Cycle: Every 6h | 85 baseline countries + 15 signal-only jurisdictions, 4 tiers
Next: YEM, SYR, AFG, SOM, SDN | PRK, COD, IRN, UKR | ETH, VEN, RUS | ISR, BGD, JOR | LBY, LBN | USA, CHN, TWN, IND
OSINT Sources
3 active4 configured1 pending
? 9,282
?
? 7,123
?
?
?
?
? 4,600

Total Events

200

Stored, last 30 days

Risk Amplifying

141

Positive magnitude

Risk Reducing

24

Negative magnitude

Avg Magnitude

0.36

Absolute mean

Countries

10

With stored events

Active Signals

26

Countries with active signals

Event Distribution by Sub-Index
Active AI Signals by Country

Net AI signal adjustment to GRS-Baseline. Positive = risk amplifying, Negative = risk reducing.

Stage 5 of 5Post-pipeline output. These signals have passed all 5 stages: source credibility scoring, LLM categorization, duplicate detection, Nash equilibrium convergence, and EMA smoothing.
CountryGRS BaselineNet SignalISIETIEVICEIACIActions
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐPakistanPAK
45.9+7.26+3.0โ€”+2.3+2.0โ€”
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ผRwandaRWA
24.1+4.70+2.0โ€”+0.3+2.0+0.5
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พSyriaSYR
69.0+3.47+1.0+0.8+1.1+0.6-0.0
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชYemenYEM
70.2+3.23+0.9+0.9+0.8+0.6+0.0
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ซAfghanistanAFG
67.4+3.22+0.9+1.0+0.7+0.6+0.1
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถIraqIRQ
48.2+2.81โ€”+3.6-3.0+2.2โ€”
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉSudanSDN
64.8+2.60+0.6+0.4+0.8+0.8-0.0
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ดSomaliaSOM
65.5+2.58+0.8+0.6+0.8+0.5-0.1
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡นPortugalPRT
-1.2+2.35โ€”+2.0+0.8-0.5โ€”
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทIranIRN
54.4+2.24+0.8+0.6+0.8+0.5-0.4
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธUnited StatesUSA
-2.6+2.22+0.3+0.7+0.4+0.7+0.1
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑIsraelISR
27.6+2.17+0.8+0.7+0.3+0.3-0.0
๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ชVenezuelaVEN
44.0+2.15+1.1+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆUkraineUKR
53.1+1.82+0.2+0.6+0.6+0.6-0.1
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณChinaCHN
24.5+1.73+0.3+0.6+0.2+0.8-0.1
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณIndiaIND
19.2+1.52+0.2+0.5+0.5+0.3+0.0
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผTaiwanTWN
11.3+1.43+0.4+0.8+0.1โ€”+0.1
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บRussiaRUS
41.9+1.37+0.6+0.8-0.3+0.0+0.2
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ดJordanJOR
25.1+1.31+0.2+0.4+0.2+0.5-0.0
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡นEthiopiaETH
44.4+1.31+0.4โ€”+0.5+0.5-0.1
Signal-Only Countries
Non-GRS Baseline

Nations not in the 85-country ARGOS GRS dataset but tracked for AI signal propagation. These countries are monitored because they generate significant regional, bloc-specific, or inter-nation geopolitical signal activity.

Countries in Convergence View

5/10 ยท Sorted by signal strength

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ PAK+7.3ร—๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ผ RWA+4.7ร—๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ SYR+3.5ร—๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช YEM+3.2ร—๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ซ AFG+3.2ร—
DeGroot Consensus Signal Convergence

Scattered OSINT signals โ†’ Focused consensus via iterative weighted averaging (DeGroot, 1974)

22 events20 clusters57% noise reducedStep 1 / 8
+1.00.0-1.0+0.5-0.5PAKRWASYRYEMAFG+1.452+0.940+0.694+0.646+0.644Raw Signals
Raw
GRS-Live Historical Trends

How AI signals have shifted country risk scores over time. Data from scheduled OSINT ingestion batches.

AI Signal
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USA ร—๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ CHN ร—๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ RUS ร—๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ UKR ร—๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท IRN ร—
10 Mar10 Mar11 Mar11 Mar11 Mar12 Mar12 Mar12 Mar12 Mar12 Mar13 Mar13 Mar13 Mar13 Mar13 Mar13 Mar15 Mar15 Mar15 Mar15 Mar15 Mar15 Mar15 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar18 Mar20 Mar20 Mar21 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar1 Apr-1510356085GRS
  • USA Baseline
  • CHN Baseline
  • RUS Baseline
  • UKR Baseline
  • IRN Baseline
  • USA Live
  • CHN Live
  • RUS Live
  • UKR Live
  • IRN Live

Current AI Signal Snapshot

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USA

+2.22

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ CHN

+1.73

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ RUS

+1.37

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ UKR

+1.82

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท IRN

+2.24

Chart Guide: In "Baseline vs Live" mode, dashed lines show the static GRS-Baseline (Layers 1-7) while solid lines show GRS-Live (with AI Signal Layer adjustments). "AI Delta" mode shows the net adjustment from AI signals over time. "Signal Breakdown" mode shows individual sub-index signal values for the first selected country. Snapshots are recorded each time the scheduler processes a country (every 6 hours for high-priority nations).
200 events
Categorized OSINT Events
LIVE

Each event is categorized by the Forge LLM to determine the most affected ARGOS sub-index, impact magnitude (-1.0 to +1.0), and categorization confidence.

Stage 3 of 5Post-categorization, pre-Nash equilibrium. Near-duplicate entries may appear before the deduplication and game-theoretic noise reduction stages (Stages 4-5) consolidate them into final AI signals.
EVI0.00

ยฃ10 , 000 invested in Barclays shares at the start of 2026 is now worth โ€ฆ

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%fool.co.uk1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI-0.30

European Stock Exchanges Rise Sharply, Oil Also Sees Peace in Middle East and Falls Below $100 - News

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%ansa.it1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.80

Emirates want military option to reopen Strait of Hormuz and are ready to participate

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%federalna.ba1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.50

Fuel prices surge again as drivers hit with ยฃ100 a tank | The Westmorland Gazette

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%thewestmorlandgazette.co.uk1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.70

Trump Says US Will Leave Iran Within Weeks

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%lajmpress.org1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.20

Gold Jumps to Two-Week High as Trump Ignites Markets with Surprise Statement

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%cedarnews.net1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.10

Vance and Rubio differing postures on Iran war highlight their challenges ahead of 2028 election

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%winchesterstar.com1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI0.00

The Dollar: From Symbol to the All-Seeing Eye!

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 50%arabic.rt.com1 Apr 2026Feed available to system only
ACI+0.10

EaseMyTrip Partners with NSDC to Formalize Spiritual Services

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%newkerala.com1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.20

Premium Fuel Prices Rise in Delhi ; Regular Petrol , Diesel Unchanged

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%newkerala.com1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Macron in Tokyo Praises Europe's 'Predictability' Against Trump's 'Unpredictability'

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%guadeloupe.franceantilles.fr1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI0.00

BPS: Indonesian Exports Recorded US$22.17 Billion in February 2026

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%money.kompas.com1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.70

Oil: It's Your Problem Now

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%zonebourse.com1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.20

Russia Rejects US Pressure on India Oil , Envoy Hails Ties

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%newkerala.com1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Pankaj Tripathi credits his simple , sensitive nature to Bihar upbringing

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%ianslive.in1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.30

Large Fires at Russian Oil Depots: Satellite Images Show Aftermath of Ukrainian Armed Forces Strikes

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%rkm.kiev.ua1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.30

Wednesday briefing: โ€‹How did Russia become the unexpected beneficiary of the Iran war?

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%The Guardian World1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ACI-0.40

Pakistan eyes Gulf investment, defence deals in return for playing peacemaker in Iran war

โ–ผ Moderate
Conf: 80%SCMP Asia1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.70

Asia ramps up use of dirty fuels to cover energy shortfall triggered by Iran war

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%The Guardian World1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

Emirates says Iranian nationals are not allowed to enter or transit through UAE โ€“ as it happened

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%The Guardian World1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.70

Asia barters for scarce energy as Iran crisis throttles supply

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%Japan Times1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

China doubles down on chemical plant expansion with tech breakthrough amid Iran war

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%SCMP Asia1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ETI-0.60

China-Pakistan five-point plan to end Iran war

โ–ผ Moderate
Conf: 90%SCMP Asia1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.40

Al-Sharaa says Syria to stay out of war on Iran unless attacked

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%Al Jazeera1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.50

Middle East war live: Trump says Iran war could end in 'two weeks, maybe three'

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%France 241 Apr 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.80

Oil shock from war on Iran unwinds traders' playbook since Trumpโ€™s tariffs

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%Japan Times1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.70

Trump tells allies โ€˜get your own oilโ€™, says Iran war could end in 2-3 weeks

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%Al Jazeera1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.10

India begins counting more than a billion people in massive census

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%BBC World1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.70

โ€˜Get your own oilโ€™: Trump launches tirade against Europe for not joining Iran war

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%The Guardian World1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.80

Iran war live: Trump says conflict to end in 2-3 weeks; Kuwait airport hit

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%Al Jazeera1 Apr 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.50

Trump says US will be leaving Iran in two to three weeks

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%Al Jazeera31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.50

'You're no longer my sister' - rows erupt as war divides Iranian families

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%BBC World31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.80

'A million things could go wrong' - why seizing Iran's uranium would be so risky for the US

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%BBC World31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

Asia's migrant workers debate if Gulf jobs are worth deadly risk of Iran war

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%BBC World31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.70

Arab nations may lose $200 billion from Iran war, U.N. says

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%Japan Times31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.50

Trumpโ€™s frustration over Iran grows, signaling hastened exit

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%Japan Times31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.30

Iranians debate whether the war is worth it

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%NPR World31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.60

US journalist kidnapped in Baghdad by suspected Iranian-backed armed group

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%France 2431 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI-0.10

No, Iranian hackers didnโ€™t leak a video of the FBI's Kash Patel dancing

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%France 2431 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.60

Gulf allies privately make the case to Trump to keep fighting until Iran is decisively defeated

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%France 2431 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.70

Iran using children in security roles in war, reports and witnesses say

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%BBC World31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.20

Has Pakistan outplayed India in Iran war diplomacy?

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 70%DW News31 Mar 2026Feed available to system only
ETI+0.30

Has Pakistan outplayed India in Iran war diplomacy?

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%DW News31 Mar 2026Feed available to system only
ETI+0.20

Iran war: Chinese propaganda casts US as reckless aggressor

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%DW News31 Mar 2026Feed available to system only
ETI+0.70

DHS resumes asylum decisions. And, Iran's strike injures over 12 U.S. personnel

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%NPR World31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.50

Iran war delays delivery of medical goods to other parts of the world

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%NPR World31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI-0.60

Trump hints at an end to military action in Iran, saying U.S. will leave in 2-3 weeks

โ–ผ Moderate
Conf: 90%NPR World31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.30

The Trump Administration Had No Plan for the War with Iran

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%War on the Rocks31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.50

The Cost of Hesitation: Why โ€œFinishing the Missionโ€ is Imperative in Iran

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%War on the Rocks31 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.80

After the Iran war, how fast could global trade recover?

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%DW News31 Mar 2026Feed available to system only
ISI+0.80

US reopens embassy in Venezuela after seizing Nicolas Maduro

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%DW News30 Mar 2026Feed available to system only
ETI+0.60

Punish Russia for Helping Iran Target the U.S. Military

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%War on the Rocks29 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.50

Hellscape Taiwan: A Porcupine Defense in the Drone Age

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%War on the Rocks27 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.40

How Are Iranโ€™s Partnerships with Belarus and Russia Holding Up During War?

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%War on the Rocks25 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.20

Putin to Tehran: Russia Stands by Iran

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 70%tribune.gr21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI-0.20

US Judge Rules Pentagon Press Restrictions Unconstitutional

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%english.aawsat.com21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.10

Lisa Mazzone: The Green Party Calls for Phasing Out Fossil Fuels

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 70%24heures.ch21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.40

Cuba Refuses to Negotiate President Term in Talks with United States

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%chronicle.lu21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

The Social Dimension of Adam Smith, Writes Federico Novelo

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%eluniversal.com.mx21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI0.00

Trump's Iran War is Like Iraq: Comparisons Prove Apt

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%wa.de21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI-0.10

Judge Sides with New York Times in Challenge to Policy Limiting Reporter Access to Pentagon

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%military.com21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI0.00

Where the Happiest People Live: World Happiness Report 2026 Published

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%sevastopol.su21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.20

Does the USS Tripoliโ€™s deployment to the Middle East create a strategic opening for China?

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 70%SCMP Asia21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.40

Does the USS Tripoliโ€™s deployment to the Middle East create a strategic opening for China?

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%SCMP Asia21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI+0.30

Washington sends conflictings signales as war rages on in the Middle East

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%France 2421 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.80

War in the Middle East: Jerusalem Old City targeted by Iranian projectile

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%France 2421 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI-0.40

US judge strikes down Pentagon press limits as unconstitutional

โ–ผ Moderate
Conf: 80%France 2421 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI+0.20

China, India and why Jeffrey Sachs says the US needs to make the UN great again

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%SCMP Asia21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.10

SA state election 2026: Peter Malinauskas makes passionate call for unity after thumping South Australia win marked by One Nation advance

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%The Guardian World21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.50

Most of Ukraineโ€™s Chernihiv region has no power after Russian attack

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%SCMP Asia21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Japan beat Australia to lift Womenโ€™s Asian Cup title

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%Al Jazeera21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.70

Iran says US and Israel attacked Natanz nuclear facility

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%Al Jazeera21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.70

Iran fires missiles at UK-US base in Indian Oceanโ€™s Chagos Islands, over 2,000 miles away

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%SCMP Asia21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.80

Yemen Most Likely FEWS NET Acutely Food Insecure Population Estimates Data

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%HDX/FEWS NET21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.80

Yemen Most Likely FEWS NET Acutely Food Insecure Population Estimates Data

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%HDX/FEWS NET21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.50

Damages assessment for Hurricane Irma.

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%HDX/International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC)21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Facebook Social Connectedness Index

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 70%HDX/AI for Good at Meta21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Facebook Social Connectedness Index

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/AI for Good at Meta21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.50

Russian drone attack kills two in Ukraine ahead of talks in US, officials say

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%BBC World21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.60

Yemen: Cholera Outbreak Epidemiology Update Data

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%HDX/HDX21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.60

Yemen: Cholera Outbreak Epidemiology Update Data

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%HDX/HDX21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.50

Humanitarian Needs and Funding 2010-2024

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%HDX/OCHA HQ21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.50

Humanitarian Needs and Funding 2010-2024

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/OCHA HQ21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.50

Humanitarian Needs and Funding 2010-2024

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/OCHA HQ21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.70

Humanitarian Needs and Funding 2010-2024

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%HDX/OCHA HQ21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.80

Yemen Current Situation FEWS NET Acute Food Insecurity Classifications Data

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%HDX/FEWS NET21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.80

Yemen Current Situation FEWS NET Acute Food Insecurity Classifications Data

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%HDX/FEWS NET21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI-0.10

Asia and Pacific Monitoring on Disasters and Diseases

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 70%HDX/ReliefWeb21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Airports in the United States of America

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%HDX/OurAirports21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.50

Beer bans and burkinis: Signs of growing authoritarianism in the new Syria?

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%DW News21 Mar 2026Feed available to system only
ACI+0.40

Israel systematically torturing Palestinians in custody, says UN expert

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%Al Jazeera21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI+0.20

Government Actions on COVID-19 in Developing Countries

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 70%HDX/Dalberg (inactive)21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.80

Afghanistan Current Situation FEWS NET Acutely Food Insecure Population Estimates Data

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%HDX/FEWS NET21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI0.00

Airports in Syria

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/OurAirports21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI0.00

Airports in Syria

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 50%HDX/OurAirports21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.80

Afghanistan Current Situation FEWS NET Acute Food Insecurity Classifications Data

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%HDX/FEWS NET21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.50

U.S. and allies move to build missiles and drones closer to Asia's flashpoints

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%Japan Times21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.40

U.S. sending marines and amphibious assault ship to Middle East, officials say

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%Japan Times21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.10

What Do Writers Do in Wartime?

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%elaph.com21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.70

British lives in danger after united kingdom backs US strikes on Iran from its bases

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%southwalesguardian.co.uk21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.10

Ukraine and US Meet in Washington โ€“ Ukraine Seeks Clarity on Future Russia Negotiations

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%ess.fi21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.50

Trump says US is considering winding down its Middle East operation

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%cravenherald.co.uk21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.50

Trump's Dilemma: How to End the Iran War?

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%news.ycwb.com21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

United Airlines flight cancellations : U . S .- Iran war impact : Major American carrier United Airlines to cut 5 per cent of planned

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%economictimes.indiatimes.com21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.50

Tehran Warns London: Allowing US Use of British Bases is Participation in Aggression

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%elaph.com21 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI-0.20

FloodScan: Near Real-Time and Historical Flood Mapping

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/JANUS Atmospheric and Environmental Research20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI+0.10

Elon Musk misled Twitter investors, jury finds

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%BBC World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.20

As Islamophobia rises, Australia's Muslims celebrate Eid

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%BBC World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.50

Iranian strikes on bases used by US caused $800m in damage, new analysis shows

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%BBC World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.30

Palestinian citizens of Israel demand better protection against missiles

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%Al Jazeera20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.70

Iran's cultural heritage sites are being damaged by American and Israeli strikes

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%NPR World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.60

Iran's cultural heritage sites are being damaged by American and Israeli strikes

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%NPR World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.70

Explosion hits Jerusalemโ€™s Old City after Iran missile alert

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%Al Jazeera20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.20

Canadian mother and daughter โ€˜traumatizedโ€™ by ICE detainment, husband says

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%The Guardian World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.40

Myth of liberation: As war rages, trapped Iranians 'curse' the regime, the Americans & the Israelis

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%France 2420 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.60

Israel says struck Syrian army camps after Druze 'attacked'

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%France 2420 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.70

Israel says struck Syrian army camps after Druze 'attacked'

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%France 2420 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.40

'No obvious short-term way out' of war, French top diplomat tells Israel

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%France 2420 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

GDACS RSS Information

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%HDX/Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

GDACS RSS Information

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI0.00

GDACS RSS Information

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 10%HDX/Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

GDACS RSS Information

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%HDX/Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI0.00

GDACS RSS Information

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

GDACS RSS Information

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%HDX/Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI-0.40

Palestinians celebrate Eid in Gaza, making the most of a fragile ceasefire

โ–ผ Moderate
Conf: 80%NPR World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.70

Israel strikes Syria after Druze clashes

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%BBC World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.60

Israel strikes Syria after Druze clashes

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%BBC World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.40

โ€˜Cowardsโ€™: Trump slams NATO over lack of support in USโ€“Israel war on Iran

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%Al Jazeera20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI-0.40

China adds 12 banks to digital yuan system, expanding e-CNYโ€™s economic presence

โ–ผ Moderate
Conf: 80%SCMP Asia20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.60

From years to a week: China unveils superfast software for hypersonic weapon design

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 90%SCMP Asia20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI+0.40

Niger rejects EU's call to free ousted President Bazoum

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%DW News20 Mar 2026Feed available to system only
ACI-0.20

Ethiopia - Standardized Expanded Nutrition Survey (SENS) in Melkadida Refugee Camps - 2018

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Ethiopia - KPC (KAP) Survey Report Gambella Region Kule - 2017

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

Afghanistan - Socio-economic assessment of IDPs and returnees in the five most populated settlements of Afghanistan's Herat Province - 2017

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.30

Afghanistan - Socio-economic assessment of IDPs and returnees in the five most populated settlements of Afghanistan's Herat Province - 2017

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.40

Afghanistan - Socio-economic assessment of Pakistani refugees in Afghanistan's Khost and Paktika provinces 2017

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.40

Afghanistan - Socio-economic assessment of Pakistani refugees in Afghanistan's Khost and Paktika provinces 2017

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.30

Regional Intention Survey of South Sudanese Refugees in Central African Republic, Democratic Republic of The Congo, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan and Uganda (June 2019)

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI-0.40

Sudan - Progress Towards Durable Solutions in Abu Shouk and El Salam IDP Camps, 2019

โ–ผ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

India - Socio-economic study of impact of corona virus pandemic on refugees and asylum seekers, 2020

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI-0.10

Yemen - Energy Monitoring Framework Survey, 2019

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 70%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI0.00

Afghanistan - Livelihoods Programme Monitoring Beneficiary Survey, 2019

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI0.00

Afghanistan - Livelihoods Programme Monitoring Beneficiary Survey, 2019

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI+0.10

Sudan - Livelihoods Programme Monitoring Beneficiary Survey, 2018

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI-0.10

China - Post-Distribution Monitoring of Cash-Based Intervention, May 2021

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 70%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.20

China - COVID-19 Vaccination Survey, July 2021

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.20

Iran detected and damaged a US F-35 stealth jet in combat. Chinese experts map out how

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%SCMP Asia20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.40

Afghanistan - Voluntary Repatriation, 2020

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI-0.30

Afghanistan - Voluntary Repatriation, 2020

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.40

Intention Survey of Rohingya Refugees from Myanmar: A Regional Perspective - 2021

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.10

Syrian Arab Republic - Participatory Assessment for Refugees, 2021

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.20

Syrian Arab Republic - Participatory Assessment for Refugees, 2021

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.10

China - Refugee's Children Education - 2021

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 70%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI-0.10

India - Post-Distribution Monitoring of Cash-Based Intervention, 2021

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI+0.10

India - India Education Survey, 2021

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI-0.10

Somalia - Livelihoods Programme Monitoring Beneficiary Survey, 2022

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/UNHCR - The UN Refugee Agency20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.20

Chinaโ€™s rare earth magnet exports to the US keep falling as Europe gains

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%SCMP Asia20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.80

Greater Middle East Crisis

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%HDX/Insecurity Insight20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.90

Greater Middle East Crisis

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%HDX/Insecurity Insight20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.80

Greater Middle East Crisis

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%HDX/Insecurity Insight20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI-0.20

Japan's prime minister emerges buoyed from Trump summit

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%DW News20 Mar 2026Feed available to system only
EVI+0.20

Africa - CDI based on ERA5 Precipitation

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 70%HDX/African Center of Meteorological Applications for Development20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

Africa - CDI based on ERA5 Precipitation

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/African Center of Meteorological Applications for Development20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

Africa - Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/African Center of Meteorological Applications for Development20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.20

Africa - Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/African Center of Meteorological Applications for Development20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

Africa - Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (fAPAR) Anomaly

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 70%HDX/African Center of Meteorological Applications for Development20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.50

Africa - Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (fAPAR) Anomaly

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/African Center of Meteorological Applications for Development20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI-0.10

Yemen - Current IATI Aid Activities

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 70%HDX/International Aid Transparency Initiative20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

United States of America - Current IATI Aid Activities

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/International Aid Transparency Initiative20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Israel - Current IATI Aid Activities

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%HDX/International Aid Transparency Initiative20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/Joint Research Centre of the European Commission20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.70

Trump is dismantling democracy, reports find. And, Treasury to take over student loans

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%NPR World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI-0.40

Trump's mediators offer Hamas a formal proposal to give up its weapons in Gaza

โ–ผ Moderate
Conf: 80%NPR World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI-0.60

Trump's mediators offer Hamas a formal proposal to give up its weapons in Gaza

โ–ผ Moderate
Conf: 80%NPR World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.50

Madagascarโ€™s military ruler decrees that ministers must pass lie detector tests

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%The Guardian World20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.50

Israel - IFRC Appeals

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%HDX/International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC)20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.70

Middle East Energy Facilities Destroyed: Modi Condemns in Calls with Multiple Leaders | International

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 80%cna.com.tw20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.10

Korea Chamber of Commerce and Industry Dismisses 4 Executives Over Press Release and APEC Controversy, Strictly Accepts Audit Results

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%biz.heraldcorp.com20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.50

Middle East Energy Facilities Mutually Destroyed: Modi Condemns in Calls with Multiple Leaders | International

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%cna.com.tw20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Family - friendly town named best place to live in Scotland

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%thenational.scot20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI0.00

Could it be time to stop complaining ?

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 10%imt.ie20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.40

Patriot: Concerns over Greece's involvement in war with Iran - Opposition attacks

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%ekriti.gr20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI+0.30

Sudan : The united kingdom Emergency Brake On Sudanese Students Is a Cynical Act of Collective Punishment

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%allafrica.com20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
CEI+0.70

Chad Shuts Sudan Border After Drone Strike Kills Civilians in El Tina

โ–ฒ Severe
Conf: 90%allafrica.com20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI0.00

Ukraine ready to share combat expertise and drone tech with Japan, ambassador says

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%Japan Times20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI0.00

Ukraine ready to share combat expertise and drone tech with Japan, ambassador says

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%Japan Times20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.60

Why Did the United States Lift Sanctions on Assadโ€™s Chemical Weapons Scientists?

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%War on the Rocks20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.30

Why Did the United States Lift Sanctions on Assadโ€™s Chemical Weapons Scientists?

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%War on the Rocks20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ISI+0.60

Why Did the United States Lift Sanctions on Assadโ€™s Chemical Weapons Scientists?

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%War on the Rocks20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI+0.10

At summit, Takaichi avoids rift with Trump on Iran โ€” for now

โ–ฒ Minor
Conf: 80%Japan Times20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

What the Donroe Doctrine Could Mean for Chinaโ€™s Economic Statecraft

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 70%War on the Rocks20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI+0.40

โ€˜Great crackdownโ€™: Russia tightens the screws on the internet

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%Japan Times20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI-0.30

Chaos unleashed by Trump has Europeans building bridges with China

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%Japan Times20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Ukraine - War in Live Ticker: +++ 05:10 Report: Ukraine to Strengthen Cooperation with Latin America +++

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%n-tv.de20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ETI0.00

Credence Research Inc .: Military Wearables Market to Reach USD 5 , 527 . 89 Million by 2032 Amid Rising Soldier Modernization Programs , Connected Battlefield Systems , and AI - Enabled Tactical Wearables

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%finanznachrichten.de20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Refusing to be a 30K-a-month corporate slave, 38-year-old becomes a professional organizer, earns over 700K annually with "zero-capital" startup

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%udn.com20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

March 19 (Thursday) Broadcast Theme: "Iran Situation Part 1"

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 80%interfm.co.jp20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

Sansan Ryuki and Kano Maria to Star in Japanese Cast Version of Musical "Crash Landing on You" (with comments)

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%natalie.mu20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
EVI+0.40

Fresh 30 - day waiver for Russian Oil issued by US amid global energy crisis , adding Cuba , N . Korea exceptions : Report

โ–ฒ Moderate
Conf: 80%iraqsun.com20 Mar 2026Source โ†’
ACI0.00

AP News in Brief at 12 : 04 a . m . EDT โ€“ Winnipeg Free Press

โ–ผ Minor
Conf: 90%winnipegfreepress.com20 Mar 2026Source โ†’

Methodology: Events are sourced from multiple OSINT providers including NewsAPI.ai, GDELT, ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data; pending), UCDP (Uppsala Conflict Data Program), ReliefWeb, HDX, ICG CrisisWatch, and international wire services (Reuters, BBC, Al Jazeera, DW, France24), collectively monitoring news and conflict data across 150+ countries in 65 languages. Each article is categorized by the Forge LLM using structured output to determine: (1) the most affected ARGOS sub-index (ISI, ETI, EVI, CEI, or ACI), (2) the impact magnitude on a [-1.0, +1.0] scale, and (3) categorization confidence. These categorizations feed into time-decaying AI signals that adjust the baseline GRS to produce GRS-Live. Signal half-life is 7 days; the scheduler processes high-priority nations (Critical/High GRS) more frequently than lower-risk nations.