AI Signal Layer: Intelligence

OSINT Intelligence Feed

Real-time categorized OSINT articles from multiple sources (NewsAPI.ai, GDELT, UCDP, ReliefWeb, HDX, ICG CrisisWatch (ACLED pending), and international wire services), processed through the Forge LLM to map each event to ARGOS sub-index dimensions with magnitude and confidence scores. These signals drive the GRS-Live computation across all monitored nations, while GRS-z systemic signals are tracked on the Redshift Monitor.

Signal Scheduler: Inactive
Cycle: Every 6h | 85 baseline countries + 15 signal-only jurisdictions, 4 tiers
OSINT Sources
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Total Events

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Stored, last 30 days

Risk Amplifying

0

Positive magnitude

Risk Reducing

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Negative magnitude

Avg Magnitude

0.00

Absolute mean

Countries

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With stored events

Active Signals

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Countries with active signals

Event Distribution by Sub-Index
GRS-Live Historical Trends

How AI signals have shifted country risk scores over time. Data from scheduled OSINT ingestion batches.

AI Signal
🇺🇸 USA ×🇨🇳 CHN ×🇷🇺 RUS ×🇺🇦 UKR ×🇮🇷 IRN ×
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Chart Guide: In "Baseline vs Live" mode, dashed lines show the static GRS-Baseline (Layers 1-7) while solid lines show GRS-Live (with AI Signal Layer adjustments). "AI Delta" mode shows the net adjustment from AI signals over time. "Signal Breakdown" mode shows individual sub-index signal values for the first selected country. Snapshots are recorded each time the scheduler processes a country (every 6 hours for high-priority nations).
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Categorized OSINT Events
LIVE

Each event is categorized by the Forge LLM to determine the most affected ARGOS sub-index, impact magnitude (-1.0 to +1.0), and categorization confidence.

Stage 3 of 5Post-categorization, pre-DeGroot consensus. Near-duplicate entries may appear before the deduplication and DeGroot consensus noise reduction stages (Stages 3-5) consolidate them into final AI signals.
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Methodology: Events are sourced from multiple OSINT providers including NewsAPI.ai, GDELT, ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data; pending), UCDP (Uppsala Conflict Data Program), ReliefWeb, HDX, ICG CrisisWatch, and international wire services (Reuters, BBC, Al Jazeera, DW, France24), collectively monitoring news and conflict data across 150+ countries in 65 languages. Each article is categorized by the Forge LLM using structured output to determine: (1) the most affected ARGOS sub-index (ISI, ETI, EVI, CEI, ACI, ENV, or SCI), (2) the impact magnitude on a [-1.0, +1.0] scale, and (3) categorization confidence. These categorizations feed into time-decaying AI signals that adjust the baseline GRS to produce GRS-Live. Signal half-life is 7 days; the scheduler processes high-priority nations (Critical/High GRS) more frequently than lower-risk nations.